Vietnam Economic News Insight & Recap – August 2025 by Grant Thornton

Vietnam’s economy in August maintained steady growth, with manufacturing output and exports continuing to expand and inflation broadly under control. This stability is encouraging, yet the underlying picture shows uneven progress. Bottlenecks in public investment, an over-reliance on imported inputs, and uncertainties in asset markets such as gold and real estate highlight vulnerabilities that could weigh on the pace and quality of recovery if not addressed. The challenge is no longer simply sustaining growth but ensuring that it is balanced and durable.

Looking forward, the outlook for Vietnam’s economy in 2025 rests on how quickly the country can convert cyclical resilience into more durable growth drivers. The World Bank’s upward revision of the 2025 forecast to 6.6% reflects solid confidence in domestic consumption and a gradual export recovery but sustaining that trajectory will require more than external demand or temporary stimulus. The government’s plan to amend and streamline the Investment Law, aiming to cut investor costs and processing times by around 30%, points to a recognition that efficiency and predictability are now as critical as low-cost advantages. This initiative, together with broader reform plans, if carried forward persistently, could enable Vietnam to not only manage near-term risks but also move up the value chain and strengthen its position as a competitive production and investment hub in the region.

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